WASHINGTON.- A national NBC News poll published on Sunday, November 1, put President Donald Trump's disapproval rating at 60%, the highest level of his two terms in that survey, with approval at 40%. Two days before the midterm elections, the same poll gave Democrats a seven-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, 52% to 45% among registered voters, with just 3% undecided.
The gap widens sharply among independents, where Democrats lead by 21 points, according to the poll. The economy and the cost of living remain voters' top concerns, in a campaign marked by discontent over prices and by the consequences of the war against Iran, as reported by the outlets that covered the survey on Sunday.
What is at stake on Tuesday, November 3
Voters will decide all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats, including two special elections, plus 36 governorships. Republicans currently control both chambers, with 53 Senate seats against 45 Democrats and two independents who usually vote with them, a position that has allowed Trump to push much of his legislative agenda during the first two years of his second term.
Trump closed his campaign on Sunday with rallies in Iowa and Kansas, two traditionally Republican states where races are tighter than usual, after a marathon of rallies across the country. If Democrats win the House, they would chair the committees, summon officials and open hearings on the administration; if they also took the Senate, they could block Trump's agenda for his final two years.
A record early vote
According to data compiled by the University of Florida's Election Lab, more than 53 million Americans had already voted before Election Day, a pace above the 2022 midterms, although it does not yet establish which party will win the majority in Congress. Advertising spending linked to the elections approaches $11 billion, according to campaign reports cited on Sunday.
Other recent surveys point in the same direction but with different numbers: a Reuters/Ipsos poll closed on October 26 put Trump's approval at 32%, slightly above its record low of 31% the previous week. Polls are snapshots, not results: only Tuesday's vote will define the new Congress.
Fuentes: TN, 1 de noviembre de 2026; El Economista, 1 de noviembre de 2026; El Comercio, 1 de noviembre de 2026.