WASHINGTON.- United States President Donald Trump heads into the final days of the 2026 midterm campaign with a map that looks hostile almost everywhere: his net approval rating is negative in 42 of the 50 states, according to the latest Civiqs state-by-state tracker, and positive in only eight.
The eight states where Donald Trump still holds a positive net approval are Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming, all states he carried in the past three presidential elections. Wyoming remains his strongest state, with a net approval of +14%. Kansas, where Donald Trump rallies on Sunday night, is evenly divided, with 46% approving and 46% disapproving.
The six Senate battlegrounds are all underwater
The tracker is bleakest where control of the Senate will be decided. Donald Trump is underwater in all six states with closely contested Senate races: Alaska (-25%), Michigan (-26%), Maine (-29%), North Carolina (-18%), Ohio (-18%) and Texas (-20%). Even in traditionally Republican strongholds the numbers have slipped, with Kentucky at -13% and South Carolina at -10%.
The national picture points the same way. A final Emerson College poll, conducted October 24-26 among 1,000 likely voters with a margin of error of about 3 points, put Donald Trump's approval at 37%, the lowest of his second term in Emerson's surveys and two points below his previous low of 39%, recorded in May, June, July and September. Disapproval stood at 57%, a net of -20 points. The same survey gave Democrats a 52% to 42% lead on the generic congressional ballot, with about 5% undecided, most of them independents, half of whom disapprove of Donald Trump.
Polling averages tell a similar story: as of October 30, RealClearPolitics put Donald Trump at 38.4% approval against 59.7% disapproval, The New York Times average had him at 37% to 60%, and Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin average at 37.3% to 59.9%. The cost of living was the top issue for voters at 34%, followed by fighting corruption in government at 28%.
What is at stake on Tuesday
On Tuesday, November 3, voters will decide all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats. Republicans now hold a 53-47 Senate majority and a narrow House edge, and more than 53 million Americans have already voted early, a midterm record. Donald Trump spent Sunday rallying in Iowa and Kansas to defend that majority, after reversing a decision to cancel the in-person stops and hold tele-rallies instead.
The polls do not decide the election, and approval ratings are not votes. But with two days to go, the president's own party is defending its majorities from a position the numbers describe as a crisis in 42 states, not a setback in a few.
Fuentes: USA Today, 30 y 31 de octubre de 2026; Times Now, 1 de noviembre de 2026; Daijiworld, 1 de noviembre de 2026; Emerson College Polling vía QNC News, 31 de octubre de 2026.